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The Handover Becomes an Insurrection

Afterburn

This flow traces how a diplomatic ceremony fractures into armed conflict as rival military factions dispute who has legitimate authority in Crimea.

increasingupBearing stren­gth in each eventdowndecreasing
A Compromise DistrictA Compromise District from "Afterburn". A Compromise District Competing claims Crimea is geographically tied to Ukraine, populated largely by Russians in the account presented, and militarily…
A Compromise District Competing claims Crimea is geographically tied to Ukraine, populated largely by Russians in the account presented, and militarily administered by Russian forces. Its contested status makes local authority vulnerable to any wider collapse. Weak protection Boychenko's troops face a much larger Ukrainian force while Russian resources are being consumed by civil war. A political settlement appears to offer protection that his depleted district cannot provide alone.
A General Divides His StaffA General Divides His Staff from "Afterburn". A General Divides His Staff Loyalty is uncertain Dmitriev questions his aide about whether officers and sailors support Boychenko's plan.
A General Divides His Staff Loyalty is uncertain Dmitriev questions his aide about whether officers and sailors support Boychenko's plan. Some want to return to Russia; others have families in Crimea and fear what Ukrainian control may mean for them. The choice hardens Dmitriev labels Boychenko's proposal treason and warns that the Reds could punish those who follow him. The threat may be partly rhetorical, but it increases pressure on an already divided command.
A Public AttackA Public Attack from "Afterburn". A Public Attack Assassins strike Gunmen attack the transfer ceremony in front of foreign representatives and civilians.
A Public Attack Assassins strike Gunmen attack the transfer ceremony in front of foreign representatives and civilians. The shooting wounds senior officials and leaves the proposed agreement without the public moment meant to establish its legitimacy. Blame becomes a weapon The assailants are initially associated with Tatar nationalist groups, but Magruder doubts that killing Boychenko would advance their cause. The uncertainty allows rival factions to shape the meaning of violence before its authors are known.
A Rival Command EmergesA Rival Command Emerges from "Afterburn". A Rival Command Emerges Dmitriev asserts authority Dmitriev declares himself the legitimate commander and identifies Boychenko as an enemy of the state.
A Rival Command Emerges Dmitriev asserts authority Dmitriev declares himself the legitimate commander and identifies Boychenko as an enemy of the state. His claim turns the district's military chain of command into a battlefield in its own right. Units choose sides Boychenko's followers resist, while naval forces and other units align with Dmitriev. The division makes conventional negotiation nearly impossible and exposes the civilian population to fighting between forces sharing a country and military history.
The Ridge ConfrontationThe Ridge Confrontation from "Afterburn". The Ridge Confrontation Russians fight Russians Boychenko's Spetsnaz and the Russian Naval Infantry clash near Arsincevo as the retreating column tries to…
The Ridge Confrontation Russians fight Russians Boychenko's Spetsnaz and the Russian Naval Infantry clash near Arsincevo as the retreating column tries to reach the extraction point. The fighting turns loyalty, home, and military allegiance into immediate life-or-death choices. Foreign intervention alters the balance American aircraft and Marines help break the blockade, though an air strike initially endangers the retreating group. The intervention changes the local balance but leaves the broader political dispute unresolved.
Before the opening events, in the Crimean Military District
Wednesday, November 4, in Sevastopol
Thursday, November 5, at Livadia Palace
Thursday, November 5, after the bridge attack
Saturday, November 7, at Arsincevo