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Russia's Fractured Authority

Afterburn

This flow traces the larger political disintegration that leaves armed forces and neighboring states acting without a stable center of authority.

increasingupBearing stren­gth in each eventdowndecreasing
The Soviet Order UnravelsThe Soviet Order Unravels from "Afterburn". The Soviet Order Unravels A sequence of reversals The narrative recalls the fall of the Berlin Wall, the dissolution of the Soviet Union, and the return of…
The Soviet Order Unravels A sequence of reversals The narrative recalls the fall of the Berlin Wall, the dissolution of the Soviet Union, and the return of hard-line rule after political instability. Attempts to restore unity through force deepen rather than repair the crisis. War spreads the weakness The invasion of Norway and the subsequent defeat of Russian forces leave the state more exposed. Military failure becomes part of a larger collapse in political legitimacy and material capacity.
Reds and Blues FightReds and Blues Fight from "Afterburn". Reds and Blues Fight Rival governments claim Russia The Reds under Krasilnikov and the Blues under Leonov contest control of a country whose institutions are…
Reds and Blues Fight Rival governments claim Russia The Reds under Krasilnikov and the Blues under Leonov contest control of a country whose institutions are breaking apart. Units in the former Soviet territories may obey local commanders, defect, or follow whichever faction can still supply them. No one speaks for everyone The United States and the UN cannot assume that a Russian agreement binds every military formation. The civil war turns even ceasefires and official announcements into uncertain instruments.
Ukraine Presses Its ClaimUkraine Presses Its Claim from "Afterburn". Ukraine Presses Its Claim A disputed peninsula Ukraine considers Crimea part of its historical and geographic territory, while Russian forces and a largely…
Ukraine Presses Its Claim A disputed peninsula Ukraine considers Crimea part of its historical and geographic territory, while Russian forces and a largely Russian-speaking population shape its immediate political life. The Black Sea Fleet's bases and ships make the dispute more than a question of boundaries. Military pressure grows Ukrainian forces assemble near the peninsula while Russia struggles to reinforce it. The prospect of invasion gives Boychenko a reason to seek outside protection and gives Dmitriev a reason to resist the handover.
Local Loyalties Replace the CenterLocal Loyalties Replace the Center from "Afterburn". Local Loyalties Replace the Center Commands fragment Boychenko, Dmitriev, and their troops make choices based on different loyalties and fears.
Local Loyalties Replace the Center Commands fragment Boychenko, Dmitriev, and their troops make choices based on different loyalties and fears. Some Russian sailors want to return home; others have families in Crimea and resist abandoning it. The state survives as competing units The conflict demonstrates that a flag and a national name cannot restore a functioning chain of command. Russia's military forces still possess weapons, but no longer act as a unified national instrument.
No Resolution at DepartureNo Resolution at Departure from "Afterburn". No Resolution at Departure The peninsula changes hands again Ukrainian landing forces move into Crimea despite the United Nations' claim that it is protected.
No Resolution at Departure The peninsula changes hands again Ukrainian landing forces move into Crimea despite the United Nations' claim that it is protected. Russia's control has been weakened, but the UN declaration cannot by itself enforce a settlement. The future remains open The carrier group leaves after achieving a military success, yet the wider Russian collapse continues. The ending presents a region where power has shifted without producing a stable political order.
Before the main action, across the preceding years
Seven months before the carrier's Black Sea entry and continuing afterward
Before the proposed transfer of Crimea
During the seizure of the Crimean Military District
Sunday, November 15, as the carrier leaves the Black Sea