The conservative ascendancy in late-1980s America
Black Water (Joyce Carol Oates Edition)The conservative ascendancy in late-1980s America is presented as more than a change in electoral fortunes: it becomes the historical pressure against which Kelly Kelleher measures her political convictions, and the atmosphere in which The Senator’s experience and ambition acquire their meaning. The novel places Kelly’s belief that voters would reject the hypocrisy she saw in conservative politics beside the hard fact of Democratic defeat, while setting her emotional disorientation against The Senator’s more calculating reading of political prospects. The result is a portrait of ideological loss that is intimate as well as national, and of continuing disagreement over how a society should exercise its power.
Electoral Defeat and Political Disillusionment
Kelly works for Governor Dukakis’s presidential campaign, volunteering at its Cambridge headquarters. Until the contest’s final weeks, she does not understand that it is doomed. In her view, George Bush’s conduct and public image should make rejection self-evident: she regards him as hypocritical, venal, uninformed, and exploitative of white voters’ fears of Black people. Her conviction that the electorate must see what she sees is not merely an assessment of a candidate; it is a faith that public judgment will answer moral clarity.
The novel counters that faith with signs of a losing campaign. Polls indicate the national direction, and Dukakis himself appears defiant but rueful. Kelly and her coworkers, however, seem not to grasp the scale of defeat until near the end. Her father, Artie Kelleher, dismisses her work as a waste of time and energy. The landslide, when it arrives, turns what Kelly had considered unthinkable into history—and exposes the gap between political conviction and political power.
That result has a severe personal consequence for Kelly. She stops eating, loses sleep, and wanders in Boston Common in a dazed state before breaking down and calling her mother to come get her. The novel does not treat the election as a detached datum: its defeat unsettles Kelly’s sense of reality and leaves her unable, for a time, to locate herself physically or emotionally. Her distress makes visible the human cost of believing that the country will recognize an injustice and then watching it choose otherwise.
A Historical Climate Remembered Later
Years later, on the Fourth of July, Kelly recounts her earlier certainty as an anecdote against herself. Walking with The Senator past small American flags placed in the sand by Buffy St. John’s neighbors’ children, she can laugh at how blind she had been to the campaign’s prospects. The setting joins private recollection to national symbolism: the flags mark a public celebration, while Kelly’s story recalls a political disappointment she once experienced as devastating.
The Senator does not share her laughter. He answers with his own memory of the earlier Democratic defeat when Adlai Stevenson lost to Dwight Eisenhower, saying that he had loved Stevenson and nearly wanted to die when he lost. His response links Kelly’s recent heartbreak to a longer history of Democratic losses, but it also refuses to make defeat merely comic in retrospect. Political disappointment recurs across generations, even as the people experiencing it differ in age, judgment, and position.
The conversation also distinguishes Kelly’s moral certainty from The Senator’s political calculation. At the 1988 Democratic convention, he declines Michael Dukakis’s offer of the vice-presidential nomination. He judges that accepting the second-place role would leave him less advantage than waiting for the presidential nomination or nothing. He is also described as having understood that the Democrats’ prospects that year were poor, where Dukakis—and Kelly—did not. In this contrast, the novel sets political idealism against strategic realism without suggesting that foresight itself reverses the conservative direction of the era.
Institutions, Memory, and the Loss of a Political Vision
Kelly’s recollections connect the contemporary political climate to the earlier promise associated with John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson. She sees the Reagan years as a period of spiritual debasement, hypocrisy, and cruelty, and mourns the dismantling of that political vision as a loss of America’s soul. These are Kelly’s judgments, not a neutral account of every voter’s motives; the narrative grounds them in her political commitments and her response to defeat.
That sense of historical decline also appears in Kelly’s description of Carl Spader. Once a media personality and an eloquent young white associate of Martin Luther King Jr. and John F. Kennedy, he now runs the Citizens' Inquiry, whose circulation has fallen to between 35,000 and 40,000. At its 1969 peak, the publication had reached between 95,000 and 100,000, rivaling The New Republic. The comparison gives the decline a material measure: a publication that once approached a prominent national magazine’s circulation now reaches far fewer readers.
Spader’s present circumstances lead The Senator to ask after him more than once, speaking with regret and mild censure. Kelly answers discreetly rather than turning his difficulties into conversational material. Her reluctance to gossip reflects a personal principle, while the circulation figures and Spader’s changed position make the broader retreat of the political culture he represents concrete. The novel thereby connects a national shift not only to elections but to the diminished reach and altered circumstances of institutions and people associated with an earlier liberal vision.
Capital Punishment as a Political Test
The ideological conflict is sharpened through the death penalty. The Senator is on record opposing capital punishment, despite being at odds with many in his home state, where execution by electrocution remains legally available and condemned prisoners wait on death row through their appeals. He has made speeches arguing that a civilized society cannot take life for any purpose without reducing itself to the murderer’s level. He also warns that the criminal justice system’s arbitrariness creates the possibility that innocent people will be sentenced to a punishment from which there is no return.
Against that position, the novel sets a familiar argument for execution: that it deters crime and sends the message that life is not cheap. The argument is presented alongside an account of the methods and bodily consequences associated with capital punishment, making the claim of humane execution difficult to separate from the violence it seeks to justify. The contrast is not simply between competing policy positions; it asks what kind of public meaning is being made when the state kills in the name of protecting life or society.
The Senator’s opposition is therefore a measure of both conviction and political cost. His stance puts him at odds with a home-state climate in which capital punishment remains on the books, while his electoral calculations elsewhere show how carefully he assesses public sentiment and political opportunity. The novel holds these facets together rather than smoothing them into a single image: he can take a courageous position against a popular punishment and still act as a shrewd political strategist.
Narrative Significance
The conservative ascendancy shapes the novel through contrasts among public outcomes, private belief, and the stories people tell about their defeats. Kelly first experiences the election as proof that the country has failed to recognize what she considers obvious; years later she can make that certainty an object of self-mockery. The Senator’s response preserves the grief beneath the joke, while his earlier judgment about the campaign reveals a political sense Kelly lacked at the time.
The historical shift also reaches beyond the ballot box. The reduced circulation of the Citizens' Inquiry, Kelly’s account of a dismantled political vision, and the continuing struggle over capital punishment show political change as a contest over institutions, memory, and the definition of civilized conduct. For Kelly, the loss is at once national and personal; for The Senator, the same climate is a field of risk, principle, and opportunity. Their differing responses give the era its narrative force: conservative ascendancy is not background alone, but a pressure that tests what political hope can recognize, endure, or become.


