Miswanting and the Focusing Illusion
Thinking, Fast and SlowThis flow traces how attention to a salient feature makes people overestimate its effect on future happiness and choose poorly.
increasing
Bearing strength in each event
decreasing
A Single Focus

Thinking Makes It Large
Attention
Any aspect of life under consideration becomes disproportionately important.
Substitution
A narrow question replaces the broad evaluation people intended to make.
Climate Forecasts

Imagined Weather
Forecast
Students predict that a person with their values would be happier in California.
Reality
Actual satisfaction is no higher than in the Midwest.
New Car Excitement

The Attractive Purchase
Initial Salience
A new car promises durable happiness because its features are easy to imagine.
Adaptation
Ordinary use soon removes the car from attention.
Social Commitment

Attention That Persists
Weekly Contact
A social group continues to occupy attention through repeated interaction.
Hidden Value
Its long-term benefit is easier to underestimate than the car's initial excitement.
Adaptive Ordinary Life

Withdrawal of Attention
Changed Circumstances
Marriage, paraplegia, and wealth influence thoughts more reliably than momentary feelings.
Hybrid Well-Being
A good life must include both lived experience and remembered goals.
During the final well-being chapters
During the California study
Later in the focusing-illusion chapter
Immediately after the car comparison
Near the end of Part 5