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Mental Accounts and Sunk Costs

Thinking, Fast and Slow

This flow traces how people organize outcomes into emotional accounts and then protect those accounts at the expense of future value.

increasingupBearing stren­gth in each eventdowndecreasing
Ticket in the BlizzardTicket in the Blizzard from "Thinking, Fast and Slow". Paid Tickets The Red Balance A fan who paid for a basketball ticket is more likely to drive through a blizzard.
Paid Tickets The Red Balance A fan who paid for a basketball ticket is more likely to drive through a blizzard. Sunk Emotion The rational irrelevance of the purchase price loses to the desire to avoid a negative account.
Disposition EffectDisposition Effect from "Thinking, Fast and Slow". Winners Sold First Personal Score Investors enjoy closing accounts with gains and avoid admitting losses.
Winners Sold First Personal Score Investors enjoy closing accounts with gains and avoid admitting losses. Wealth Cost They sell promising winners while retaining weaker losers.
Project EscalationProject Escalation from "Thinking, Fast and Slow". Good Money After Bad Corporate Failure A company continues funding an underperforming project because prior spending feels like an account that must be…
Good Money After Bad Corporate Failure A company continues funding an underperforming project because prior spending feels like an account that must be recovered. Agency Conflict Managers protect their reputations with shareholders' resources.
The Tennis ClubThe Tennis Club from "Thinking, Fast and Slow". Dead Loss Avoided Painful Membership A player continues using a club after developing tennis elbow.
Dead Loss Avoided Painful Membership A player continues using a club after developing tennis elbow. Emotional Accounting Playing in pain preserves the fee as a cost rather than admitting it is lost.
Broad Portfolio ThinkingBroad Portfolio Thinking from "Thinking, Fast and Slow". Future Consequences Beyond Purchase Price A rational investor evaluates which asset will perform best from now onward.
Future Consequences Beyond Purchase Price A rational investor evaluates which asset will perform best from now onward. Account Closure Past costs matter emotionally but should not determine future allocation.
During the mental-account discussion
Later in Part 4
After the disposition discussion
Near the end of the mental-account chapter
Near the conclusion of Part 4