The Oil Concession Rivalry
The Secret of ChimneysThis thread follows the financial competition behind the succession crisis and the way Michael’s murder reshapes the bargaining position of rival syndicates.
increasing
Bearing strength in each event
decreasing
Oil Changes the Stakes

A New Resource
Reports of oil discoveries make Herzoslovakia newly attractive to international financiers. A royal restoration becomes valuable because the future king can grant concessions to the companies that finance him.
Money Behind the Crown
The oil dispute gives political factions material interests beyond ideology. The choice of monarch becomes a commercial decision with national consequences.
Michael’s British Backers

A Loan for a Claimant
Prince Michael Obolovitch is expected to receive a loan from Herman Isaacstein’s British syndicate in return for oil concessions. George Lomax supports the arrangement as part of a pro-British policy.
A Carefully Staged Meeting
Chimneys offers a private venue where the prince and financier can negotiate without public attention. The arrangement looks secure until murder changes the identity of the available claimant.
An American Rival

Nicholas Has Investors
George Lomax reveals that Prince Nicholas has appeared in America and attracted financial backing by offering concessions to an American group. The rival claim threatens to divert both the crown and the oil wealth from Britain.
Battle Sees the Motive
Superintendent Battle recognizes that the competing investors have a concrete interest in Prince Michael’s death. The political story becomes a field of suspects rather than a simple royalist restoration.
Isaacstein Under Suspicion

A Financier Accused
The murder weapon appears in Herman Isaacstein’s luggage just as the financial negotiations are unsettled. He protests that the gun has been planted, and the discovery threatens both his reputation and his syndicate’s position.
A Bargain at Risk
The apparent evidence could remove the British financier from the negotiations, but the real purpose is to frame him. Political advantage and criminal evidence become dangerously difficult to distinguish.
The Deal Survives the Murder

A Replacement Prince
Anthony Cade reveals himself as Prince Nicholas Obolovitch and invites Herman Isaacstein to make the loan on terms like those offered to Prince Michael. The genuine claimant replaces the fraudulent American version of Nicholas.
Interests Reconciled
The loyalists receive a king, and the British syndicate retains a chance at oil concessions. The settlement does not resolve the political ethics of the bargain, but it prevents the murder from ending the negotiations.
Early October, before the murder
Before the Chimneys gathering
During Battle’s first political interviews
Monday, when the revolver is found
Late on October 13