Calvin Schomburg
The Wisdom of CrowdsCalvin Schomburg was the technical expert on NASA’s Mission Management Team who maintained that foam could not seriously damage the shuttle’s tiles. In the discussions before Columbia’s final flight, his reassurance became part of a decision-making process that treated the absence of a predicted burn-through as more decisive than the uncertainties in the analysis behind it.
Role and Technical Position
Schomburg’s position was clear in his January 23 discussion with Rodney Rocha, a NASA engineer who had become the unofficial representative of the Debris Assessment Team. The DAT was increasingly concerned that foam damage might lead to burn-through during reentry; Schomburg, by contrast, had insisted throughout that foam could not seriously damage the tiles. The exchange centered on what might happen if the tiles had been severely damaged. Schomburg’s answer was that nothing could be done.
That assertion joined two questions that should have remained distinct: whether the foam had caused serious damage, and whether any response would be possible if it had. The book notes that the assumption that no remedy existed was wrong. NASA engineers later developed two strategies that might have returned the crew safely to Earth, although the shuttle itself could not have been saved after the foam strike. Schomburg’s statement therefore reflected the fatalism shaping the discussion, not the full range of options later identified.
The January 24 Briefing
The next day, the DAT presented five scenarios for what might have happened to Columbia. Its engineers judged the shuttle likely safe, but stressed that the analysis was profoundly limited: they lacked good information about where the foam had struck, and the Crater algorithm was designed for debris hundreds of times smaller than the piece that hit the shuttle. The Mission Management Team had also refused to authorize images of the damage, leaving the engineers unable to locate the impact precisely.
An hour after the briefing, Don McCormack summarized the DAT’s findings to the MMT. He acknowledged the potential for significant damage and the uncertainty about the debris’s size, impact location, and angle. Schomburg was on the conference call as McCormack described the analysis. When Linda Ham reframed the conclusion as no burn-through and therefore no catastrophic damage, McCormack said the team saw no flight-safety issue in what it had examined. The conversation then turned toward whether the matter was merely a turnaround issue, like problems on earlier flights.
Reassurance and Consequence
Ham summarized the exchange by saying that McCormack was reiterating, together with Schomburg, that he did not believe there would be burn-through and that the problem was not a flight-safety issue. The meeting ended without a member of the MMT asking to see the DAT study or probing its uncertainties. The engineers’ qualifications and the limits of their tools receded behind the reassuring conclusion.
Schomburg’s role in the episode was not that of the sole decision-maker: the account places his confidence within a larger team whose discussion favored consensus and closure over sustained inquiry. But his repeated insistence that the tiles could not be seriously damaged, and his participation in the reassuring summary of the DAT’s work, helped make an uncertain assessment sound settled. By the end of the January 24 meeting, the decision-making process had effectively sealed Columbia’s fate.