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Gary Wendt

The Wisdom of Crowds

Gary Wendt appears as a case study in how quickly corporate acclaim can turn into failure—and why neither outcome alone establishes an executive’s underlying ability. Once celebrated as a brilliant leader at GE Capital, he took charge of the troubled finance company Conseco in 2000. Its stock price tripled during his first year, but two years later he resigned abruptly; Conseco went bankrupt and its shares traded for pennies. The book uses this reversal to question the idea that a celebrated chief executive can reliably produce the right answers in an unpredictable business environment.

Reputation at GE Capital

Before becoming a chief executive, Wendt ran GE Capital under Jack Welch. He was regarded as the smartest non-CEO in the country, and one journal described his mind as “as focused as a laser beam.” The immense cash generated by his division made him seem like General Electric’s secret weapon. His reputation rested not simply on a title but on his association with a powerful division and its apparent success.

Conseco: Rise and Reversal

In 2000, Wendt was hired to take over the troubled Conseco. The terms of his recruitment were extraordinary: he received $45 million upon signing and the opportunity to earn a $50 million bonus. Investors initially appeared to expect that he would reproduce his earlier success. Conseco’s stock price tripled during his first year in charge as they waited for him to work his magic.

That confidence did not last. Two years after Wendt took over, he resigned abruptly. Conseco subsequently went bankrupt, and its stock traded for pennies. The contrast between the initial rise and the collapse is central to his place in the book’s argument: a favorable early response to a prominent executive did not guarantee that the company would recover.

What the Example Shows

Wendt’s story belongs to a broader discussion of the difficulty of judging chief executives. Corporate decisions rarely have clean, measurable outcomes, and it is easy to mistake success for evidence of a special, lasting quality. The book stresses that Wendt did not become unintelligent or unskilled between his acclaimed years at GE Capital and his failure at Conseco. Rather, his case shows the limits of what even a capable executive can reliably accomplish.

The narrative also sets Wendt alongside other executives whose reputations deteriorated after strategic mistakes, including leaders associated with Kodak, Xerox, AT&T, Lucent, and WorldCom. His rise and reversal make the book’s central warning concrete: public acclaim can attach itself to a run of success, but that record does not ensure future success or establish that one person can consistently see the right course ahead.

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