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Andijan massacre

Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty

The Andijan massacre was the 2005 killing of demonstrators by police and military forces in Uzbekistan. In the book’s account, it marked the height of President Islam Karimov’s escalating repression and showed how control of the security apparatus and public information could sustain political power while closing off avenues for opposition.

Political Background

Uzbekistan emerged from the collapse of the Soviet Union with the prospect of independence, a market economy, and democracy. Karimov, a former Communist Party official who had become Uzbekistan’s first secretary in 1989, recast himself as a nationalist as Soviet authority weakened. With the crucial support of the security forces, he won the country’s first presidential election in December 1991.

After taking power, Karimov cracked down on independent political opposition. Opponents were imprisoned or driven into exile; there was no free media, and nongovernmental organizations were not permitted. The massacre is presented against this narrowing political landscape, rather than as an isolated episode detached from the government’s wider methods of rule.

The 2005 Massacre

In 2005, police and army forces killed demonstrators in Andijan. The account estimates that possibly 750 or more people were killed, while signaling uncertainty about the precise total. It identifies the episode as the apogee of intensifying repression: state violence reached a scale that made the regime’s reliance on coercive power unmistakable.

The narrative does not give a detailed sequence of the demonstration or the government’s immediate response. Its emphasis is instead on the massacre’s place in the political trajectory that followed Karimov’s consolidation of power, and on the scale of the killing as evidence of how far repression had intensified.

Consolidation and Significance

The account connects Karimov’s command of the security forces with his control of information and the electoral system. He extended his presidential term by five years through a referendum, then won a new seven-year term in 2000 with 91.2 percent of the vote. The sole opponent declared that he had voted for Karimov. In the 2007 reelection, widely regarded as fraudulent, Karimov won 88 percent.

Within this chronology, the massacre is not presented as a turn toward political opening but as the culmination of an entrenched system. The broader argument contrasts such concentrated authority with political arrangements that allow participation and constrain those in power. Andijan stands as a stark example of what happens when opposition is suppressed and the forces of the state are not effectively checked.