North Africa
Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and PovertyNorth Africa is presented not as a fixed explanation for poverty but as a region repeatedly drawn into wider histories of epidemic, trade, and political upheaval. The book invokes it both in challenging geographic explanations of inequality and in showing how the consequences of historical shocks and institutions cross regional boundaries.
A region in the geography debate
The book notes that many poor countries lie in tropical latitudes, including parts of North Africa, and identifies this pattern as one reason the geography hypothesis has intuitive appeal. That hypothesis attributes differences in prosperity to physical conditions such as climate, disease, and soil. The book rejects geography as an adequate account of the origins and distribution of wealth: a visible correlation between latitude and poverty does not establish that climate determines economic or political outcomes.
The discussion of domesticated species makes the limits of geographic explanation more concrete. Wild ancestors of crops and livestock were distributed widely across Eurasia and North Africa, while the presence of such resources does not explain why societies within those broad regions developed so differently. North Africa’s inclusion in these examples places it within a comparison of environmental endowments, but the book’s central emphasis remains on how institutions and historical change mediate their effects.
The Black Death reaches the region
North Africa was among the areas reached by the Black Death in 1348. The plague had arrived at Tana, on the Black Sea, in 1346, carried by fleas living on rats brought along the Silk Road. Genoese traders helped the disease spread from Tana across the Mediterranean; by early 1347 it had reached Constantinople, and in the spring of 1348 it was spreading through France and North Africa as well as Italy.
The plague killed about half the population of the areas it struck. Its appearance in North Africa forms part of the book’s account of a catastrophe that moved along connected trade routes and affected societies across a wide area. The regional reference thus situates North Africa within a transcontinental history of commercial connection and epidemic loss, rather than treating it as an isolated setting.
Trade, colonial power, and uneven development
The book’s account of early modern expansion contrasts European commercial growth with the damage colonial power inflicted elsewhere. North Africa appears in a broader description of regions whose existing resources and economic possibilities cannot, by themselves, explain later prosperity. In the account of the Moluccas, the Dutch East India Company’s military and commercial power is shown enforcing monopolies and intensifying forced labor; the book uses such cases to argue that European expansion could strengthen extractive institutions and suppress local commercial development.
That comparison culminates in a wider claim about colonial empires: their profitability often depended on destroying independent polities and indigenous economies, or creating extractive systems from the ground up. North Africa is not presented here as the site of the specific Dutch actions described in the Moluccas. Rather, it forms part of the book’s wider geographical frame for considering epidemic circulation and global inequality, while the colonial examples show the mechanisms by which trade and power could redirect development elsewhere.
The Arab Spring
At the time the preface was written, North Africa and the Middle East had been shaken by the Arab Spring, which began with the Jasmine Revolution. The initial spark was public outrage at the self-immolation of Mohamed Bouazizi, a street vendor, on December 17, 2010. On January 14, 2011, Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, who had ruled Tunisia since 1987, stepped down. The preface stresses that the revolutionary fervor did not subside with his departure; opposition to rule by privileged elites grew stronger and spread to the rest of the Middle East.
Egypt provided another decisive turn. Hosni Mubarak, who had ruled the country with a tight grip for almost thirty years, was ousted on February 11, 2011. As the preface closed, the fates of the regimes in Bahrain, Libya, Syria, and Yemen remained unknown. The uncertainty matters to the book’s framing: political outcomes were still unfolding, and the challenge was to understand the poverty and constraints underlying popular discontent rather than to assume that the region’s future was fixed by geography.
Poverty and institutional explanation
The preface connects the unrest to material hardship while refusing to treat poverty as immutable. It compares Egypt with the United States: the average Egyptian income was around 12 percent of the American average, life expectancy was ten years lower, and 20 percent of the population lived in dire poverty. Those differences, the authors note, were still smaller than the gaps separating the United States from the poorest countries, including Sierra Leone and Zimbabwe, where well over half the population lived in poverty.
The protests gave the book a way to pose its larger questions through the concerns of Egyptians themselves. In Cairo’s Tahrir Square, advertising-agency worker Noha Hamed identified corruption, oppression, and poor education as problems of a corrupt system that had to change. Pharmacy student Mosaab El Shami called for an elected government, universal freedoms, and an end to corruption. Their statements frame the regional upheaval as a demand for political change, and connect North Africa’s contemporary crisis to the book’s broader inquiry into how institutions constrain prosperity and whether those constraints can be overcome.