Natal
Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and PovertyNatal was the prosperous eastern side of a political and economic divide that separated it from the Transkei. The contrast across the Great Kei River—between coastal properties, green sugarcane fields, and developed roads on one side, and deforested land and makeshift housing on the other—illustrates how South Africa’s dual economy was built through unequal institutions rather than emerging as a natural difference between modern and traditional life.
Setting and Regional Contrast
The divide ran between Natal, formerly KwaZulu-Natal, and the Transkei, following the Great Kei River. On Natal’s coastal side, wealthy beachfront properties stood among broad sandy beaches, while the interior supported lush sugarcane plantations and well-developed roads. Across the river, the landscape was heavily deforested and brown; many people lived in makeshift huts without the amenities available in the affluent modern houses to the east.
The contrast was not simply one of appearance or technology. Natal had private property rights, functioning legal systems, markets, commercial agriculture, and industry. The Transkei, until recently, had communal landholding and powerful traditional chiefs. In the book’s account, these distinct arrangements help explain why the neighboring regions experienced sharply different levels of prosperity.
Natal and the Making of the Dual Economy
The contrast might seem to fit the dual-economy theory associated with Sir Arthur Lewis, which divides less-developed economies into a modern sector and a traditional agricultural sector. But the book rejects the idea that the Transkei’s poverty was merely a historical remnant, or that development would naturally turn it into Natal. The divide was relatively recent and was deliberately created by South African white elites: the Transkei was made a reservoir of cheap labor for white businesses, while restrictions on Black Africans limited their competition.
Natal’s economic institutions thus cannot be understood in isolation from the political arrangement that sustained them. The wealth of the modern sector depended on a neighboring region whose land and population were organized in ways that served employers’ demand for labor. The paired regions show how an apparently conventional divide between a prosperous modern economy and a poor traditional one could be produced and maintained for the benefit of an elite.
Colonial Expansion and Political Exclusion
South Africa’s wider political and economic development brought further changes to the region. British expansion into the interior after taking Cape Town from the Dutch during the Napoleonic Wars helped precipitate a long series of Xhosa wars. In 1835, Afrikaners, also known as Boers, began the Great Trek away from British coastal control and established the Orange Free State and the Transvaal inland.
The discovery of diamond reserves at Kimberley in 1867 and gold mines in Johannesburg in 1886 prompted Britain to extend its control across South Africa. After the Boer Wars of 1880–1881 and 1899–1902, the Afrikaner states were merged with the Cape Province and Natal to form the Union of South Africa in 1910. The political settlement preserved unequal franchises: the Orange Free State and the Transvaal barred Black people from political participation, while Natal and the Cape Colony allowed voting only to Black people who met property requirements, which most did not. By the 1930s, Black people had been explicitly disenfranchised throughout South Africa.
End of the Divide
The dual economy ended in 1994, but not through the gradual transformation Lewis’s account might suggest. Black South Africans protested a regime that denied them basic rights and excluded them from the gains of economic growth. After the Soweto uprising of 1976, opposition became more organized and stronger, eventually bringing down the apartheid state.
This ending reverses the logic that had created the divide. Natal’s prosperity and the Transkei’s deprivation were not simply different stages of development: the arrangement was built to benefit white businesses and constrain Black economic opportunity. The book presents the political empowerment and organization of Black South Africans—not an automatic economic convergence—as what ultimately brought the dual economy to an end.