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Decision to develop the hydrogen bomb

Truman

The Decision to develop the hydrogen bomb was a pivotal choice in the early nuclear arms race: Harry S. Truman ordered work to proceed despite grave reservations within his advisory circle and his own stated belief that peace, not reliance on atomic weapons, should be the country’s purpose. The decision emerged from a stark calculation about Soviet capability and the dangers of waiting, but the compressed process left little room for public explanation or a fuller examination of its costs.

Background and the pressure to act

By January 1950, senior military, scientific, and diplomatic advisers were debating whether to launch a crash program for a hydrogen bomb. General Omar N. Bradley argued that it was futile to compare the morality of one weapon with another because war itself was immoral, and that the stigma belonged to the nation that began hostilities. Although discussion was supposed to remain within the Z Committee, Louis Johnson quickly sent Bradley’s memorandum to Truman.

The possibility that the Soviet Union could build a hydrogen bomb sharpened the urgency. As the magazine Time described the situation, the public waited outside while specialists considered a weapon more powerful than any previously imagined; because the Soviets knew the principle, delay by the United States might prove risky or fatal. The argument for proceeding therefore rested not on confidence that the weapon would preserve peace, but on fear that refusing to develop it would leave the United States exposed while Soviet work continued.

The committee’s final deliberation

On January 31, Acheson, Johnson, and David E. Lilienthal, accompanied by aides, met for the final session of the Z Committee in Room 216 of the Old State Department Building. Acheson took charge of the discussion. Having concluded that work should proceed, he presented a draft statement for the President.

Johnson agreed with Acheson. Lilienthal objected to pushing the decision through in an atmosphere of excitement. He warned that proceeding could foreclose another attempt to change the course of the arms race, and questioned a defense strategy resting so heavily on atomic weapons. A new bomb, he argued, might give Americans a dangerous false sense that the balance of power would then belong to them; he also raised concerns about the effects on defense spending and foreign policy.

Acheson admired Lilienthal’s objections, but said he could not get past two stubborn facts: postponing American work would not postpone Soviet work, and the American public would not accept a policy of delay. Johnson urged that the President be protected. Lilienthal, while still holding serious reservations, agreed to sign the statement. The committee’s compromise did not mean that its members shared a settled view of the wisdom of the project; it meant that they accepted the immediate case for proceeding despite their differences.

Truman’s decision

The committee’s meeting had lasted two and a half hours. Accompanied by Admiral Sidney W. Souers, Acheson, Johnson, and Lilienthal then went to the White House, where their meeting with Truman lasted only seven minutes. Lilienthal’s later account suggested that the President had already decided, perhaps as much as ten days earlier: he was, Lilienthal wrote, clearly set on what he would do before the advisers entered the room.

Truman told Lilienthal that he had always believed the United States should never use these weapons and that peace was the country’s whole purpose. Lilienthal nevertheless restated his grave doubts, warning that even a carefully worded announcement would reinforce what he considered the mistaken policy of relying on atomic weapons as the chief defense. Truman replied that people in Congress and elsewhere were so excited that he saw no alternative. He asked whether the Soviets could build the bomb. The group nodded. When Souers added that there was little time, Truman decided to proceed: “In that case, we have no choice. We’ll go ahead.”

As he signed the statement, Truman compared the situation to an earlier National Security Council decision concerning Greece. People had predicted catastrophe then, he recalled, but the policy had gone forward and the world had not come to an end. The comparison framed the hydrogen-bomb choice as another difficult commitment that could not safely be avoided, rather than as an outcome he welcomed.

Announcement and immediate response

Truman announced that he had directed the Atomic Energy Commission to continue work on all forms of atomic weapons, including the hydrogen or superbomb. The public received the decision in a mimeographed statement, rather than in a carefully prepared presidential address explaining the stakes. Lilienthal later described the atmosphere at the commission as that of a funeral party and recorded his hope that he had been wrong. Albert Einstein, appearing on television, warned of radioactive poisoning of the atmosphere and said that general annihilation beckoned.

Public and editorial approval of Truman’s decision was overwhelming at first; it was widely treated as the right and inevitable course. Within days, however, news that former Los Alamos scientist Klaus Fuchs had confessed to spying for the Soviet Union, followed by Senator Joseph McCarthy’s claim that he possessed a list of Communists in the State Department, raised public apprehension further. These developments did not alter the decision, but they intensified the atmosphere of fear and suspicion in which it had been made.

The account also emphasizes what the process did not provide. Even if Truman would ultimately have chosen the same course, a longer examination under less pressure might have better prepared the country and allowed a clear presidential explanation. Instead, the decision’s speed, its reliance on a short statement, and the advisers’ unresolved misgivings left the public with a consequential commitment announced more plainly than it was explained.